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Comparing Ethereum’s Previous Cycle to its Recent Cycle

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Written by
Valdrin Tahiri

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Edited by
Ryan Boltman

26 June 2021 14:31 UTC
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  • ETH's first cycle continued for 812 days
  • The current cycle has gone on for 882 days.
  • The rate of increase in 2020 was much smaller than that in 2015-2018.
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In this article, we will take a look at the price movement for Ethereum (ETH) in the 2015-2018 bullish cycle and compare it to the current one.

While both upward movements have continued for a similar amount of time, the 2020 movement had a much smaller magnitude than the movement preceding it.

First bullish cycle

The first upward movement for ETH began on Oct. 2015. At the time, the token was trading at a low of only $0.42. 

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The upward movement continued for 812 days, leading to a then all-time high price of $1,420, reached in Jan. 2018. Throughout this period, ETH increased by a massive 335,191%.

Afterwards, a corrective period ensued, which continued for 329 days. It was roughly 2.5 times shorter than the upward movement.  It culminated with a low of $81.19, which was reached on Dec. 2018. These two movements completed the first market cycle for Ethereum.

Since then, ETH has been on an upward trend.

ETH First cycle
Chart By TradingView

Current ETH movement

After the Dec. 2018 low, ETH began an upward movement that lasted for 882 days. It led to an all-time high price of $4,380 being reached in April 2021. The length of time was nearly identical to the preceding bull run of 2015-2018.

However, relative to the 2015-2018 movement, the rate of increase was significantly smaller. ETH increased by 5,314%, which is 60 times less than the magnitude of increase in 2015-2018.

If a similar 94% decrease were to follow, it would take the price to a low of $260. In addition, if the ratio of length between upward and downward movement remains the same, the low would be reached sometime in April 2022.

Nevertheless, it is not certain that the upward movement for ETH has ended, nor that it will follow a similar path as previously if it has in fact ended.

ETH Cycle
Chart By TradingView

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.