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Bitcoin Gears Up for a Supply Squeeze as Miners and HODLers Clamp Down

2 mins
Updated by Ann Maria Shibu
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin's decreasing velocity signals a potential supply shock, as fewer coins are changing hands, indicating growing investor conviction.
  • Miners are holding onto their BTC, with the Miner Reserve reaching 1.81 million coins, signaling a shift toward accumulation.
  • A $110,473 liquidity zone on BTC's heatmap shows strong trader interest, suggesting a potential price surge past $110,000 if demand rises.
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After several failed attempts to breach the $110,000 price mark over the past week, leading coin Bitcoin may be set for a decisive breakout. 

On-chain data shows coin accumulation is quietly intensifying, and the bullish signals are beginning to align.

Bitcoin Supply Tightens as Miners Hold and Velocity Hits 3-Year Low

BTC’s Velocity has slowly declined since July started, indicating that the coin is entering a low-supply environment. On July 8, the on-chain metric, which measures how frequently BTC changes hands over a given period, closed at a three-year low of 12.68.

Bitcoin Velocity.
Bitcoin Velocity. Source: CryptoQuant

When an asset’s velocity falls, fewer coins are moving through the network, indicating that holders are choosing to sit tight rather than trade or sell. 

This is a bullish signal, as it reflects growing conviction among investors and a gradual tightening of liquid supply, which can drive prices higher if demand increases.

In addition, Bitcoin’s Miner Reserve has climbed steadily over the past week. Data from CryptoQuant shows that miners have added 1,782 BTC to their holdings in the last seven days, pushing the total Miner Reserve to 1.81 million coins at press time.

Bitcoin Miner Reserve.
Bitcoin Miner Reserve. Source: CryptoQuant

The rise in BTC’s Miner Reserve since the beginning of July suggests a shift in miner behavior toward holding rather than selling as the market presses harder for a climb rally above $110,000. 

Bitcoin Could Surge as Traders Zero In on $110,000 Liquidity Zone

An assessment of BTC’s liquidation heatmap shows a notable concentration of liquidity around the $110,473 price zone. 

BTC Liquidation Heatmap.
BTC Liquidation Heatmap. Source: Coinglass

Liquidation heatmaps identify price levels where clusters of leveraged positions are likely to be liquidated. These maps highlight areas of high liquidity, often color-coded to show intensity, with brighter zones (yellow) representing larger liquidation potential.

Usually, these cluster zones act as magnets for price action, as the market tends to move toward these areas to trigger liquidations and open fresh positions.

Therefore, for BTC, the cluster of a high volume of liquidity at the $110,473 price level indicates a strong trader interest in buying or closing short positions at that price. It creates room for a potential surge past $110,000 in the near term. 

However, this will not happen if selling pressure gains momentum and new demand fails to enter the BTC market. In this case, the coin’s price could fall toward $107,745. 

BTC Price Analysis
BTC Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

BTC’s price could breach support and slide toward $104,709 if buying pressure remains weak.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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