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Bitcoin (BTC) Attempts Break Above Bullish Pattern as Buying Pressure Gains

2 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin has formed an ascending triangle, signaling increased buying pressure despite facing resistance at $61,845.
  • BTC's rising CMF and OBV suggest the potential for a continued uptrend as buying pressure keeps strengthening.
  • A bearish taker-buy-sell ratio in BTC's derivatives market could counteract gains, risking a drop to $58,464.
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Since Bitcoin (BTC) hit a six-month low on August 5 during the broader market downturn, it has seen a modest rise in demand, forming an ascending triangle pattern.

Currently trading at $60,940, the leading cryptocurrency has rebounded by 13% from its August 5 low of $54,018.

Bitcoin Seeks to Break Above Resistance

An ascending triangle is a bullish chart pattern that forms when an asset’s price moves between a flat horizontal resistance line and a rising support line. This pattern signals growing buying pressure while selling activity remains concentrated at a specific price level. As demand increases, the price edges closer to breaking the resistance.

For Bitcoin, the key resistance level within this pattern is $61,845. Currently trading at $60,940, BTC is attempting to break above this resistance, indicating that buyers may soon overcome selling pressure, potentially pushing the price higher.

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator supports this outlook. With a reading of 0.01, the CMF has moved above the zero line for the first time since August 13, reflecting increasing capital inflows that strengthen the bullish momentum.

btc cmf and ascending triangle
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

This indicator measures the flow of money into and out of an asset. When its value is above zero, it signals liquidity entry into the market and a spike in buying activity. Traders often view it as a precursor to a price rally. 

Additionally, BTC’s on-balance volume (OBV) has risen steadily since the ascending triangle began. This indicator measures buying and selling pressure in an asset’s market.

Read more: What Happened at the Last Bitcoin Halving? Predictions for 2024

btc on-balance volume
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

When it increases, it indicates that buying pressure outweighs selling activity, hinting at a bullish recovery.

BTC Price Prediction: Futures Traders Tread a Different Path

While BTC enjoys a growing bullish bias in its spot market, its derivatives market traders have adopted a bearish approach. This is evident in the coin’s taker-buy-sell ratio (assessed using a 14-day simple moving average), which has fallen below one. CryptoQuant’s data put the metric’s value at 0.99 at the time of writing.

btc taker-buy sell ratio
Bitcoin Taker-Buy-Sell Ratio. Source: CryptoQuant

This metric measures the ratio between buy and sell volumes in an asset’s futures market. A value greater than one indicates more buy volume than sell volume, while a value less than one indicates more sell volume than buy volume. 

A taker buy-sell ratio below one is a bearish signal, as it indicates that traders in an asset’s perpetual futures market are predominantly selling their assets rather than buying more.

Read more: 7 Ways To Survive the Crypto Bear Market

btc price prediction
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If traders continue selling, Bitcoin’s price could drop to $58,464, retracing some of its recent gains. On the other hand, if their strategy shifts toward accumulating more BTC, it could break above the ascending triangle’s resistance, potentially pushing the price to $64,321

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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