Bitcoin Holds Steady Above $11,200 Support

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In Brief
  • BTC is trading between support and resistance at $11,200 and $12,000, respectively.

  • The short-term chart is showing weakness.

  • Bitcoin has likely begun a bullish impulse and is in wave 3.

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Bitcoin (BTC) has broken out from a crucial resistance level and validated it as support afterward.



After a possible short-term decrease, the price is expected to resume its upward movement.

BTC Trading Range

The Bitcoin price has been increasing since Sept 8, when it reached a low of $9,825. The increase accelerated on Oct 8, causing a breakout above the resistance level of $11,200.



Afterward, the price created a lower wick in order to validate the area as support before moving upwards. BTC has reached a local high of $11,731 and the next closest resistance area is found at $12,000.

BTC Chart By TradingView

Short-Term Weakness

The 6-hour chart shows that despite the increase, the rally has shown considerable weakness. Both the MACD and RSI are decreasing, while the latter has generated considerable bearish divergence.

Furthermore, the price has created a long upper wick, a sign of selling pressure.

BTC Chart By TradingView

The 2-hour chart gives a similar view. There is an even more pronounced bearish divergence in the RSI and the MACD has already crossed into negative territory. Furthermore, the price has created a bearish engulfing candlestick after reaching the aforementioned $11,731 top.

There is a minor support level at $11,300, but if that fails, the price would be expected to decrease towards the 0.5-0.618 Fib levels between $10,894 and $11,053.

BTC Chart By TradingView

Wave Count

It is likely that BTC began wave 5 (shown in black below) on Sept 8. Wave 5 is transpiring with another five sub-waves (orange), and the price currently appears to be in sub-wave 3.

A decrease below the wave 2 low at $10,136 would invalidate this particular scenario. A breakdown from the ”0-2 line” would also be a sign that the bullish trend has ended.

A likely target for the top of sub-wave 3 (orange) would be between the 2.21-2.61 Fib levels of sub-wave 1 at $12,611 -$13,111. The first preliminary target for the top of wave 5 is found at $14,000.

The next image will be a closer view at sub-wave 3 (The wave counts in these images from the longest to the shortest-term are shown in black, orange, blue, and red, respectively).

BTC Chart By TradingView

Sub-wave 3 is created by a five-wave formation, which is shown in blue below. The price is currently in minor sub-wave 3, which has become extended and is expected to end between $11,903-$12,230, the 2.21-2.61 Fib levels of minor sub-wave 1.

The red wave count is that of the extended minor sub-wave 3. A drop that would complete wave 4 (red) would also fit with the short-term weakness shown by other technical indicators.

BTC Chart By TradingView

To conclude, Bitcoin has broken out from a crucial resistance level, but a short-term decrease seems likely before it can resume its upward movement.

For BeInCrypto’s previous Bitcoin analysis, click here!

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article do not reflect those of BeInCrypto.

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Valdrin is a cryptocurrency enthusiast and financial trader. After obtaining a masters degree in Financial Markets at the Barcelona Graduate School of Economics he began working at the Ministry of Economic Development in his native country of Kosovo. In 2019, he decided to focus full-time on cryptocurrencies and trading.

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