Bitcoin Dominance Rate Attempts to Bounce Off Support

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In Brief
  • The Bitcoin Dominance Rate (BTCD) is facing long-term resistance at 71.5%.

  • There is support at 60.7% and 63.50%.

  • The Altcoin Index (ALTPERP) is facing resistance at $1,700.

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The Bitcoin Dominance Rate (BTCD) has reached a significant support area. Despite a potentially bearish trend, it’s expected to bounce at one of the support areas presented below.



Due to the decreasing Bitcoin dominance, the Altcoin Perpetual Index (ALTPERP) is expected to break out above the current $1,700 resistance area.

 

Bitcoin Dominance Long-Term Rejection

BTCD has been moving downwards since being rejected by the 71.5% resistance area in January 2021. The rejection had tremendous significance due to the fact that BTCD had not been above this level since July 2017.



While technical indicators are gradually turning bearish, they have not confirmed a bearish trend reversal yet.

If the BTCD were to continue decreasing in the long-term, the closest support areas would be found at 58.5%, 54%, and 50%.

BTCD Chart By TradingView

Future Movement

Cryptocurrency trader @TheEWguy outlined a Bitcoin dominance chart and stated that he expects it to continue falling toward 63%.

Source: Twitter

BTCD has been falling since the tweet and reached the 63% level on Jan. 25.

The daily chart shows even more bearish technical indicators. The MACD, RSI, and Stochastic oscillator are all moving downwards.

Furthermore, the MACD has crossed into negative territory and the RSI has just crossed below 30.

Nevertheless, the BTCD has just reached the 0.618 Fib retracement level, which very commonly initiates either trend reversals or bounces. The next support is found at 60.72%.

Therefore, even if the BTCD trend is bearish, a short-term bounce is expected near the current levels.

BTCD Chart By TradingView

Relationship to BTC

The BTC price (orange) and BTCD (candlesticks) are shown in the chart below.

Since the aforementioned high on Jan. 3. the BTC price and BTCD have had a positive correlation. This is visible in the Correlation coefficient, which shows values very close to one the majority of the time, implying a nearly perfect positive correlation.

Therefore, if the BTC price increase were to occur, it would likely cause an increase in BTCD.

BTCD Chart By TradingView

Altcoin Index

The Altcoin Index (ALTPERP) has been moving upwards since breaking out from and validating the previous descending resistance line as support.

While another drop occurred on Jan. 21, preceded by bearish divergence in the MACD, the RSI generated a significant hidden bullish divergence after. The ALTPERP has been increasing since.

The Stochastic oscillator has also made a bullish cross and is increasing, suggesting that the trend is bullish.

ALT Chart By TradingView

The two-hour chart also suggests that a breakout is likely.

The move of the lows seems impulsive and technical indicators are also bullish.

Even if a short-term drop were to occur, there is strong support at $1,557 and $1,513, (0.382-0.5 Fib retracement levels).

The rate of increase would be expected to accelerate above $1,700.

ALT Chart By TradingView

Conclusion

Bitcoin dominance is expected to bounce at one of the support areas found at 63.5% or 60.70%. The Altcoin Index (ALTPERP) is also expected to break out above the current $1,700 resistance area.

For BeInCrypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here!

 

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
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Valdrin is a cryptocurrency enthusiast and financial trader. After obtaining a masters degree in Financial Markets at the Barcelona Graduate School of Economics he began working at the Ministry of Economic Development in his native country of Kosovo. In 2019, he decided to focus full-time on cryptocurrencies and trading.

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