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Bitcoin Cash Drops After Creating Double Top. Has A Bottom Been Reached? (BCH/USD & EUR Trade Setup For May 23)

3 mins
Updated by Valdrin Tahiri
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The price of Bitcoin Cash (BCH) reached a high of $452.91/€402 on May 16. Prices dropped and then rebounded. By May 20, BCH had reached highs just below those seen four days prior.

This appears to have created a double top pattern which indicates possible future losses. To validate this theory, however, a more thorough analysis is needed.

Outlook

In this analysis, we look at trends, indicators, and price fluctuations to determine whether decreases are increases are likely. Then we define a possible short trade setup for BCH/USD and BCH/EUR.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH): Trends For May 23, 2019

  • BCH/USD and BCH/EUR reached a high on May 16.
  • It is trading inside a symmetrical triangle.
  • It is trading inside a long-term ascending broadening wedge
  • Bearish divergence is developing in the RSI and the MACD.
  • There is support near $230 and €200.

Symmetrical Triangle

BCH/USD is analyzed at four-hour intervals from May 10 to May 24. This is done in order to trace the current trading pattern. In order to avoid confusion, we will not be using images of the BCH/EUR pair until we address the trade setups.

On May 12, Bitcoin Cash reached a high of $332.02 and generated an ascending support line. Combined with the descending resistance line created from May 16’s highs, a symmetrical triangle has developed.

Since May 16, BCH has been decreasing within this trading pattern:

Symmetrical Triangle

On May 20, the resistance line was reached. Price has since been dropping toward the support line. If it is reached, this will provide further validation of the trading pattern’s legitimacy.

BCH To Support?

To determine whether or not BCH will continue falling toward the support line or rebound toward the resistance, we analyze the price of BCH is analyzed at daily intervals from Dec 2018 to May 2019 alongside the RSI and the MACD below:

Bearish Divergence

Since Dec 2018, the price of BCH has been trading inside an ascending broadening wedge. The resistance line was touched during the highs of Apr 3 and May 16.

Similarly, the RSI and the MACD made highs on Apr 3. However, they have since decreased.

This bearish divergence suggests that the price of BCH will continue dropping toward the support line of the short-term triangle. It also appears possible that the price could breakdown and fall toward the long-term support line. However, it also remains possible that after reaching short-term support, BCH will rebound to validate the short-term or long-term resistance line. Validation of the long-term resistance line would require a breakout from the short-term trading pattern. Bitcoin Cash (BCH) price analysis

May 23 Trade Setup For Bitcoin Cash (BCH)

As a result of the position of the price relative to its pattern, we have isolated a potential short trade setup for BCH  in both USD and EUR. The Risk/Reward Ratio and Stop Loss percentage are slightly different for the pairs. In order to avoid confusion, however, we have rounded up both values.

An average entry of $400 and €350 is defined. The stop-loss order is placed at $452.1 and €400.1, slightly above the May 16 highs. This is a stop loss of 13%. BCH USD Trade BCH Euro TradeOur target is set at $230 and €200 respectively. Combined with the stop loss presented earlier, this is a 3.1 Risk/Reward Ratio. A breakdown from the current trading pattern is required for the price to reach our target. The target is found by identifying the closest support area.

Do you think Bitcoin Cash will drop to the support area? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.

Disclaimer: This article is not trading advice and should not be construed as such. Always consult a trained financial professional before investing in cryptocurrencies, as the market is particularly volatile.

 
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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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