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Bitcoin (BTC) Wave Count Analysis

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Written by
Valdrin Tahiri

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Edited by
Ryan Boltman

04 October 2021 13:28 UTC
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  • BTC has begun a new bullish impulse.
  • It has completed an A-B-C corrective structure
  • BTC has broken out from a descending parallel channel.
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Bitcoin (BTC) has completed an A-B-C corrective structure after breaking out from a descending parallel channel.

It has likely begun a long-term bullish impulse that would take it to a new all-time high price.

BTC Count

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The BTC movement following the April 14 all-time high price (highlighted) is a five wave bearish impulse (orange). However, it is not certain if it is the beginning of a new bearish impulse, or a completed C wave (white).

The most likely possibility indicates that it is a C wave. While this wave is considerably longer than wave A, it is still within the parameters of a valid impulse, since it is less than 2.61 the length of A. 

Furthermore, the movement since the June 22 low resembles that which would ensue after a completed correction.

BTC short-term count
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Therefore, it is possible that BTC has begun a new bullish impulse (white) which will take it towards a new all-time high price. 

In this case, it has just completed wave two with its Sept 21 bounce at $37,573, which reached the 0.5 Fib retracement support level when measuring the entire upward movement.

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So, BTC could be in wave three of this new bullish impulse. For the previous wave count analysis, click here.

BTC Count
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Future movement

Cryptocurrency trader @TheTradinghubb outlined a bullish wave count, in which BTC has begun a new bullish impulse.

BTC Count
Source: Twitter
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The completed A-B-C corrective structure was confirmed with the breakout from the descending parallel channel. 

Therefore, it is possible that BTC is now in sub-wave one of the new upward movement. 

The minor sub-wave count is given in black.

BTC short-term movement
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Bearish BTC count

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Both the long-term and short-term movement is the same even in the bearish count. However, the medium-term movement differs. 

In this case, BTC is still in wave two of the bullish impulse, since the current A-B-C decrease (orange) was only wave A (white) of the correction.

Since the movement is a flat correction, BTC would be expected to increase to at least $51,000 before falling once more towards the Sept 21 lows. Afterwards, the upward movement would be expected to continue.

BTC Correction
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For BeInCrypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.