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Binance’s BTC Futures Set New Record: Will Price Rebound?

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Written by
Paul Kim

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Edited by
Oihyun Kim

04 September 2025 12:00 UTC
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  • Binance's futures volume hit a 2025 record of $2.62T in August.
  • This surge signals returning institutional interest and new position buildup.
  • Sustained growth requires spot market liquidity and new stablecoin inflows.
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Binance has set a new record for Bitcoin futures trading, hitting its highest volume in August. This surge is being interpreted as a clear signal of growing speculative appetite among both retail and institutional traders.

According to crypto analyst Arab Chain, Binance’s total futures volume for August reached $2.626 trillion, an all-time high for 2025. This figure surpasses the previous record of $2.552 trillion set in July, reflecting a powerful return of market momentum and a fresh influx of capital. The analyst points to strengthened liquidity on Binance, which is solidifying its position as a dominant global futures marketplace.


Is This a Sign of Institutional Comeback?

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The return of hedge funds and institutional investors may be a key factor driving this growth. Arab Chain noted that “data shows rising institutional activity across both long and short positions on Binance, especially following a period of relative stabilization in ETF momentum.”

Binance – Futures Volume for Each Exchange. Source: CryptoQuant

The analyst also highlighted that “open interest reached elevated levels alongside the trading volume spike, indicating that the increase was driven not just by liquidations, but by the buildup of new positions.” This suggests many new participants are entering the market rather than simply closing out existing positions.

While the numbers are impressive, not everyone sees this as a guaranteed bull run. Arab Chain also warned that such high momentum often precedes a market correction. “For sustained futures momentum, support from spot markets and cash flows—particularly from stablecoins and reserves—is critical,” he stated.

The analyst’s caution reminds the industry that the derivatives-led rally could quickly lose steam without fresh liquidity. A lack of strong cash inflows could result in a sharp correction if open positions aren’t supported.

However, recent data on stablecoins shows promise. The global stablecoin market cap, which was at $276.2 billion on August 1, grew by approximately 7.38% over the month. This growth has continued into September, rising another 0.65% to reach $298 billion at the time of writing. If this trend holds, a derivatives-fueled rally could be on the horizon.

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