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This Is Why Cardano (ADA) Price Is Potentially on the Cusp of a 15% Correction

2 mins
Updated by Ryan James
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In Brief

  • Cardano price is losing the local support of $0.72 and will potentially find some support at $0.68.
  • The MVRV ratio in the danger zone suggests that ADA's bullishness is saturating and could lead to selling for profit.
  • Cardano could invalidate the bearish outcome if it validates the two-month-old bullish rounding bottom pattern by tagging $0.76.
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Cardano’s price had an impressive start in March, but this momentum slowed over the past few days. ADA is now threatened by a potential correction that could wipe out a large chunk of its recently noted gains.

But what happens if the third-generation cryptocurrency manages to validate this bullish pattern from December?

Cardano Price Is on the Way

Cardano’s price rose by more than 13% in the past week, trading at $0.72 at the time of writing. However, it is having difficulty sustaining this rally since it is slipping below the local support of $0.72.

This level would need to be turned into a support floor for ADA to rise further. But since the altcoin is already losing its bullish momentum, investors might opt to sell. The MVRV ratio gauges investors’ average profit or loss when acquiring an asset. Specifically, the 30-day MVRV evaluates this metric for investors who obtained the asset within the last month.

Cardano MVRV ratio | Source: Santiment
Cardano MVRV ratio | Source: Santiment

For Cardano, the 30-day MVRV sits at 10.8%, which indicates that investors who purchased ADA in the past month are sitting at 10.8% profit. These investors would likely sell their holdings to book profits, which could trigger a sell-off. The chart shows that ADA undergoes major corrections when MVRV hits 10% to 20%. Hence, this area is termed a danger zone.

A selling spree will create a chain reaction, sending ADA to $0.68. This price is the upper limit of the cluster of 5.23 billion ADA worth $3.8 billion, bought between $0.59 and $0.68.

Cardano GIOM | Source: IntoTheBlock
Cardano GIOM | Source: IntoTheBlock

If these investors fear losses and opt to sell, Cardano’s price could lose this support too and decline to the next critical support level of $0.62, marking a 15% decline.

ADA Price Prediction: This One Move Could Prevent a Drop

Over the past two months, Cardano has been observing a rounding bottom pattern formation. The rounding bottom pattern is a technical pattern that signals a potential bullish reversal in a downtrend.

It forms when the price of an asset reaches a low point, then gradually rises, forming a curved or rounded bottom. This pattern suggests a shift from selling pressure to buying pressure, and once the price breaks above the pattern’s resistance level, it indicates a bullish trend continuation or reversal.

ADA/USDT 1-day chart | Source: TradingView
ADA/USDT 1-day chart | Source: TradingView

In the case of ADA, the breakout point is marked at $0.62, which forms the neckline. Per the height of the pattern, the target is $0.76. Cardano would meet this pattern if it manages to rally by another 6%.

Should this pattern be validated, ADA would find the necessary boost to breach the $0.76 barrier, invalidate the bearish thesis, and rally toward $0.80.

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Aaryamann Shrivastava
As a Mass Media (Journalism) graduate, my journey into cryptocurrency journalism has evolved into a distinguished role as an On-Chain Analyst over the past two and a half years. Collaborating with industry-leading media companies like FXStreet, AMBCrypto, and FXEmpire, I’ve delved deeply into the intricate realms of Crypto and Blockchain, crafting over 2,500 meticulously curated SEO-focused articles. Driven by a commitment to excellence, I remain steadfast in delivering the highest caliber...