Meta Stock Loses $175 Billion After AI Expense Estimate Shakes Shareholders

  • Meta shares fell 10% after raising 2026 AI capex guidance to $145 billion.
  • JPMorgan downgraded Meta to Neutral, cutting its price target to $725.
  • Q1 revenue jumped 33% to $56.31 billion, the strongest growth since 2021.
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Meta Platforms (META) shares dropped roughly 10% on Thursday, erasing about $175 billion in market value. A higher 2026 capital expenditure forecast of $125 billion to $145 billion triggered the selloff.

The decline marked the stock’s largest single-day percentage drop in roughly six months. It came despite Q1 2026 earnings that exceeded Wall Street estimates on both revenue and profit.

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Capex Hike Spooks META Investors

As of this writing, META stock was trading for $606.43, down by almost 10% in the last 24 hours, wiping out up top $175 billion from its market cap today alone.

META Stock Performance
META Stock Performance. Source: TradingView

The new spending range sits roughly 7% above the previous January guidance of $115 billion to $135 billion.

Chief Financial Officer Susan Li attributed the increase to higher memory-chip pricing. She also cited additional data center costs tied to artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure.

JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth downgraded Meta to Neutral and cut the bank’s price target to $725 from $825. The note flagged intensifying full-stack AI competition and a more challenging path to returns.

Q1 capex alone reached $19.8 billion, in line with the broader Big Tech race in AI infrastructure.

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Earnings Beat Overshadowed

Meta reported revenue of $56.31 billion, up 33% year over year, the strongest quarterly growth since 2021. Net income reached $26.8 billion, or $10.44 per diluted share. An $8 billion one-time tax benefit tied to U.S. Treasury R&D guidance lifted that figure.

Ad revenue stayed strong as AI-powered content recommendations boosted engagement on Reels and video.

Yet the reaction echoed earlier sell-offs after prior Meta capex hikes. The pattern repeatedly overshadows strong fundamentals with spending fears.

CEO Mark Zuckerberg defended the strategy on the call. He framed the higher outlay as a vote of confidence in Meta’s AI roadmap.

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