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Bitcoin Enters ‘Hangover Period’ With Low Volumes and Volatility

2 mins
Updated by Kyle Baird
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin volatility, volumes, and realized values are currently at multi-year lows.
  • Glassnode analyst describes current market situation as a 'hangover period.'
  • BTC holders continue to accumulate coins while futures trading volumes fall back.
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Bitcoin markets have returned to a state of lethargy following a period of volatility as U.S. regulators intensified their attacks on the industry. As a result, the consolidation has continued as the asset recovers from losses and returns to its range-bound channel.

On June 19, on-chain analytics platform Glassnode reported that Bitcoin volatility, volumes, and realized values are at multi-year lows. On its “road to nowhere,” BTC markets showed a minimal response to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, applying for a spot ETF late last week.

Bitcoin Volume in Hangover Phase

Glassnode analyst “@_Checkmatey_” described the current market situation as a hangover period.

“Bitcoin is quiet, volumes are down, and it is pretty clear we are in the hangover apathy phase.”

Examining the 30-day price range, Glassnode reported that quiet periods like this are “few and far in between.”

Bitcoin has been range-bound for more than three months now. The upper bound of that range was $31,000 on April 15 with the lower bound at $25,000 on June 15.

These market conditions tend to occur during the “apathetic hangover period that follows a bear market,” the report added.  

Bitcoin BTC Price Highs and Lows. Source: Glassnode
Bitcoin BTC Price Highs and Lows. Source: Glassnode

Furthermore, one-month Realized Volatility has also fallen below 40%, one of the lowest recordings since the 2021 bull market.

“We can see such events are typically experienced during the long, sideways grind as the market finds its feet after a prolonged bearish trend.”

Additionally, the absolute value of profit and loss-taking events has sunk to cycle and October 2020 lows of around $268 million.

The declines have also been seen across derivatives markets, with futures trading volumes falling to $20.9 billion per day. This has occurred due to liquidity across digital asset markets continuing to decline.

On the upside, ‘hodlers’ continue to do their thing and accumulate BTC. Coins are being stashed at a rate of around 42,200 BTC per month. This suggests that the “price insensitive class are absorbing a non-trivial portion of the currently available supply.”

Crypto Market Outlook

Following a flat three days, Bitcoin prices ticked up during the Tuesday morning Asian trading session. As a result, the asset was changing hands for $26,936, following a 2% daily increase.

BTC Price in USD 24 hours. Source: BeInCrypto
Bitcoin Price in USD 24 hours. Source: BeInCrypto

Since its SEC-induced dump last week, Bitcoin has recovered around 8% to current levels. However, the asset remains down 61% from its all-time high and firmly in bear territory.

Top crypto platforms | December 2023


In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions.

Martin Young
Martin has been covering the latest developments on cyber security and infotech for two decades. He has previous trading experience and has been actively covering the blockchain and crypto industry since 2017.