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Fed Rate Decision Pits 104 Economists Against a 36% Hike Bet
- Every economist in a Reuters poll of 104 expects no rate change.
- Fed funds futures still price a 36% chance of a hike Wednesday.
- Most of those economists now see high odds of a hike later in 2026.
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The US-Iran Ceasefire Was an Illusion. Markets are Paying the Price
- The US-Iran ceasefire was a temporary pause that left the core disputes unresolved.
- Renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are already hitting oil, shipping, insurance, and global trade.
- Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are falling with risk assets as liquidity pressure outweighs the safe-haven narrative.
South Korea’s Biggest Bank Taps JPMorgan Blockchain for Trade Payments
- KB Kookmin Bank will run trade payments on JPMorgan's Kinexys blockchain from August.
- The service covers dollar transfers across 10 countries, including US and India.
- Kinexys has processed over $4 trillion in cumulative volume since its launch.
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Tron TRX Ends 16% Slide With Two Bullish Signals
- TRX reclaims its 30-day moving average after a 16% slide from May highs.
- Tron Inc. added 150,742 TRX, lifting treasury holdings past 706.9 million tokens.
- CryptoQuant pegs Tron's USDT supply at $90 billion, with $24 billion moving daily.
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Two Central Banks Decide Interest Rates Next Week: What It Means for Bitcoin
- Fed and Bank of Japan both set rates next week, days apart.
- CME FedWatch hike odds hit 38% on July 23 as oil topped $100.
- Bitcoin holds near $64,000 with the yen at a 40-year low.
Crypto’s Only Growing Sector Runs on Gold and Equities
- Tokenized assets grew 267% in a year, the only crypto sector to gain.
- Tokenized gold holdings doubled from 524,000 ounces to over 1 million.
- Tokenized equities and ETFs went from zero to 23% of the sector in 12 months.
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Crypto Forensics Got Smarter, But AI Scammers Got There First
- Blockchain forensics tools have recovered an estimated $34 billion and are used by 45+ regulators as detection has genuinely improved.
- Yet 2025 crypto scam losses hit roughly $17 billion, with AI-powered scams 4.5x more profitable and impersonation fraud up 1,400%.
- The scams that do the most damage never touch the chain and that's the gap no forensic tool can close.
When Will the Strait of Hormuz Open for Good? Analyst Gives Timeline
- Kpler now expects the Strait of Hormuz to reopen next year.
- Roughly 15 million barrels a day of crude exports remain halted.
- Houthi attacks threaten Saudi Arabia's Red Sea route.
