Exclusive Bitcoin (BTC) Consolidates Near Long-Term Support

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In Brief
  • Bitcoin is likely in a long-term corrective wave four.

  • Weekly indicators are bearish but daily signals are bullish.

  • BTC is facing resistance levels at $41,260 and $44,760.

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The bitcoin (BTC) price temporarily stalled the ongoing correction with a bounce at a long-term Fib retracement support level.

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While long-term indicators are still bearish, short-term signals suggest a bounce will occur.

BTC completes weak weekly close

Last week, BTC stymied its downward trend. It created a small bullish candlestick with a bullish close. The bounce occurred right at the 0.5 Fib retracement support level at $34,350.

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However, technical indicators are bearish. The MACD has given a bearish reversal signal, the RSI has fallen below 50, and the Stochastic oscillator has made a bearish cross (red icons).

The most recent time all three of these occurred was in September 2019. Therefore, it’s possible that the current movement is similar to that of September 2019. Another similarity between these two movements is the bounce between the 0.5-0.618 Fib retracement support levels, further strengthening the comparison

Due to the sharpness of the correction, a type of bounce would be expected, at least in the short term.

BTC Chart By TradingView

At the time, BTC was in wave two (red), which is oftentimes corrective. Therefore, it would make sense that BTC is currently in wave four, which is also normally corrective.

BTC Chart By TradingView

Daily indicators turn bullish

Unlike the weekly chart, the daily time frame provides mostly bullish readings. 

The RSI has generated triple bullish divergences and has completed a failure swing bottom. In addition to this, the MACD has given a bullish reversal signal. Finally, the Stochastic oscillator is moving upwards, though it has yet to make a bullish cross. 

The 0.382 and 0.5 Fib retracement levels provide resistance. They are found at $41,260 and $44,760 respectively.

Therefore, unlike the weekly time frame, indicators on the daily chart are decisively bullish.

 
BTC Chart By TradingView

Future movement

The short-term chart shows a descending resistance line that has been in place since May 20. It’s currently at $39,000. Furthermore, there is a potential ascending support line in place. Together, they create a symmetrical triangle, which is considered a neutral pattern.

This further adds to the confusion since it shows a neutral reading, aligning with neither the daily nor weekly time-frames. 

Therefore, a breakout or breakdown from this pattern is required in order to determine the direction of the trend.

BTC Chart By TradingView

For BeInCrypto’s previous bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
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Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona graduate school of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst.

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