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Two Reasons Why Solana Could Soon Break Past the $190 Mark

2 mins
Updated by Ann Maria Shibu
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In Brief

  • A drop in Solana’s Liveliness suggests long-term holders are accumulating rather than selling, signaling confidence in the asset’s future.
  • A long/short ratio of 1.01 indicates more traders are betting on price growth, reflecting a bullish sentiment.
  • If these trends hold, SOL could rally above $190 and potentially reach $195.55, though profit-taking could drive it down to $171.88.
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Popular altcoin Solana has gained strong upward momentum over the past week, surging 15% amid renewed market optimism

As broader crypto sentiment brightens, two key on-chain signals suggest that this bullish trend may continue, potentially driving SOL toward the $190 price level.

Solana Traders Place Big Bets on Upward Momentum

Firstly, on-chain data shows a notable drop in SOL’s Liveliness in the past 14 days. This metric, which tracks the movement of previously dormant tokens, dropped to 0.764 yesterday, indicating a dip in SOL sell-offs among its long-term holders.

For token TA and market updates: Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

SOL Liveliness.
SOL Liveliness. Source: Glassnode

Liveliness measures the movement of long-held tokens by calculating the ratio of coin days destroyed to the total coin days accumulated. When it climbs, it suggests that more dormant tokens are being moved or sold, signaling profit-taking by long-term holders.

Converesly, when Liveliness declines, long-term holders hold a large portion of inactive coins, reflecting increased accumulation and confidence in the asset’s future.

This trend depicts strong conviction among SOL’s key holders. If it continues, it could set the stage for an extended bullish run as broader market sentiment continues to improve.

Furthermore, buy-side pressure is significant on the SOL derivatives market, as reflected by the coin’s current long/short ratio of 1.01.

SOL Long/Short Ratio
SOL Long/Short Ratio. Source: Coinglass

The long/short metric measures the proportion of long bets to short ones in an asset’s futures market. A ratio above one signals more long positions than short ones. This indicates a bullish sentiment, as most traders expect the asset’s value to rise.

On the other hand, a long/short ratio below 1 means that more traders are betting on the asset’s price to decline than those expecting it to rise. 

SOL’s long/short ratio reflects rising demand for long positions. Its traders continue to position themselves to benefit from the continued upward movement, which could strengthen the coin. 

SOL Nears Critical $190 Level, But Profit-Taking Risks Loom

On the daily chart, SOL trades above an ascending trend line, a trend that emerges when an asset’s price is generally increasing over time, with buyers being more dominant than sellers.

If this continues, SOL could decisively break above the $190 mark and rally toward $195.55, a high it last reached on July 28.

SOL Price Analysis
SOL Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, a resurgence in profit-taking activity could invalidate this bullish outlook. If sellers return to the market, they could drive SOL’s price under the ascending trend line and toward $171.88.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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